元 requires redundancy for critical loads, and higher-level Level 4/5 autonomy will need even more sophisticated dependability concepts. For L 2/2+, there need to be protected branches for every critical load. I think about it as learning to trust the "elf under the hood." We're moving from an era of fail-safe design being acceptable to one where fail operational is a requirement, which in turn requires what we at Infineon call "dependable systems." The evolving concept of dependability extends to every stage of every ADAS system sensing, computing, communication, actuation, power supply and memory. In our talks with companies on the cutting edge of autonomous development, there's a recognition that getting consumers to rely on the automated systems is critical. Getting consumers to rely on automated systems is critical. At that point, only a little more than 1 in 10 autos will have no ADAS features, and we'll also start to see measurable adoption rates for 元/4 autonomy. They project adoption will move from 2020 level of L1/L2 automation at 40/7% respectively to 46/27% in 2025 and then L2 levels will grow to 53% of vehicles in 2030, with L1 used in another 28%. Forecasts by Strategy Analytics reflect that realism. That makes 2021 the year of realistic expectations. Can you give us your thoughts on the timeline, especially on the important threshold the industry now stands at between Level 2 and Level 3 autonomy?Īs far as turning points, 2020 might be described as when industry watchers recognised the reality that the move to autonomous vehicles is a long transition. Many cited 2021 as a turning point for automated vehicles, though the reality has shown it will be a longer process.
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Infineon stands ready to provide input as needed to our customers. Ultimately, the decisions made by Tier One suppliers and OEMs about overall systems architecture will drive development. There's a lot to learn in this area and the playing field also will see dramatic changes as electrification ultimately eliminates fuel-burning engines and their sensor loads from the equation. That also brings up the idea of the status of sensor fusion in development of autonomous systems.